Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.234826 0.277500 0.323026 0.374933 0.432200 0.493189 0.562785
2024-10-27 0.180634 0.238685 0.305026 0.385340 0.478845 0.583238 0.707555
2024-11-03 0.142944 0.210403 0.292602 0.397505 0.525254 0.673366 0.855637
2024-11-10 0.114461 0.187545 0.282253 0.409061 0.569650 0.761829 1.004732
2024-11-17 0.086498 0.159675 0.260973 0.403390 0.590762 0.821796 1.121066
2024-11-24 0.068510 0.141940 0.250039 0.408724 0.624398 0.896978 1.257130
2024-12-01 0.051659 0.122030 0.232823 0.402923 0.641756 0.950957 1.367294
2024-12-08 0.036730 0.101319 0.211014 0.387695 0.644215 0.984414 1.451069
2024-12-15 0.029446 0.092460 0.206148 0.396033 0.678572 1.059800 1.589608
2024-12-22 0.021254 0.079106 0.191672 0.387985 0.688476 1.101904 1.684869
2024-12-29 0.018107 0.075912 0.194204 0.406273 0.736643 1.196615 1.850910
2025-01-05 0.013625 0.067736 0.186354 0.406839 0.758134 1.254614 1.968578
2025-01-12 0.010093 0.060650 0.179761 0.409311 0.783142 1.319085 2.097777
2025-01-19 0.008014 0.056922 0.179263 0.421925 0.823892 1.406526 2.259691
2025-01-26 0.006395 0.053856 0.179623 0.435830 0.866849 1.497769 2.428082
2025-02-02 0.005018 0.050817 0.179531 0.448728 0.908416 1.587652 2.595824
2025-02-09 0.003199 0.044066 0.169778 0.443053 0.919823 1.633736 2.703216
2025-02-16 0.002225 0.040342 0.166474 0.448959 0.949825 1.707268 2.849700
2025-02-23 0.001258 0.034796 0.157414 0.442910 0.959636 1.750822 2.954293
2025-03-02 0.000520 0.028257 0.143962 0.426750 0.951487 1.766901 3.019659
2025-03-09 0.000305 0.026286 0.142986 0.435692 0.985935 1.847501 3.177910
2025-03-16 0.000093 0.022059 0.134045 0.427136 0.989702 1.881236 3.268974
2025-03-23 0.000059 0.021896 0.138136 0.446660 1.042860 1.991349 3.471509